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June 21, 2005

Hide & Go Seek Blockbuster Numbers

Well, at least we know what Sam Rubin thinks!

There is a minor skirmish in the Critics Wars this summer, as Steven Spielberg and Paramount has made the decision to go 2004 and to sit on War of The Worlds as though it was an egg in need of a lot of protection.

Well, kind of.

And that’s where the skirmish lies.

If you work for the Los Angeles Times, Time, Newsweek, EW, Variety or The Hollywood Reporter, you have already had a chance to see the film last week, whether you are a critic, feature writer, or arts section janitor... or friend of same.

So as Newsweek’s Sean Smith played tonsil hockey with Uncle Steve two weeks early and the film toured the globe, squirt-mics and all, the critical community waited.

And as of last night, if you are a junketeer, you have had your chance to see the movie in New York.

So this morning, we got Sam Rubin NOT reviewing the film on a live feed from New York, though he did let us know that the controversy will be that the film is only a PG-13 when he considered it much too strong for young kids – “a horror film,” specifically – and that it is not his cup of tea because he doesn’t like being scared every few minutes and... no one on the planet cares what Sam Rubin thinks of any film any more deeply than that.

Meanwhile, in Los Angeles the film will screen for everyone else in the crappy little Chinese 6 (“The Chinette”) two days before opening next Monday.

Of course, this comes on the heels of Warner Bros taking the extreme opposite tack with the endlessly praised Batman Begins, showing it early on the lot, screening twice to full houses at the premiere house in town, the Village in Westwood. Later, the studio actually requested that pretty much everyone run their reviews early for the film... and almost everyone did.

And Star Wars – Episode III... pretty close to the same deal. Junketeers went first, but within days, there were screenings for the rest of the critical world and embargoes were left flapping in the wind.

This is unlike last year, when paranoia and fear on everything but Shrek 2, Potter 3, and Spidey 2 was the rule, coming to a head with Fox burying The Day After Tomorrow to great effect.

So the sensibility has become, more clearly than ever, if its big and good, it screens... if its big and sucks, it hides. Until this week...

Truth be told, it is probably going to be a non-factor in the grosses of War of The Worlds. And critics were pretty much a non-factor on Star Wars and Batman.

So what’s the problem? Why piss people off? Is it going to help? Only if your movie sucks. Is it going to make it one small bit harder for critics to relax and enjoy your film? Yeah. Will critics and writers take it out on the movie? Unlikely.

In fact, the only real thing that can be taken from all this for those of us who are waiting a few more days to see Dakota Fanning scream a lot is that a guy as powerful and respected as Steven Spielberg is not above playing games and showing disrespect to any media that isn’t, essentially, paying to play.

Of course, this is the same Steven Spielberg whose studio pulled Michael Bay and his first act of The Island out of the editing room to show off to everyone who was willing to turn out at The Academy two months before the films release. Of course, Steven answers only to Steven. But it does make you scratch your head.

Worrying about seeing a film a week earlier or later also boggles... but the question is, forever, what is the upside and what is the downside. And for as little as it matters, the upside of hiding this film, assuming it is as good as Sean “Puffy” Smith thinks... I don’t see it.

Posted by poland at June 21, 2005 05:54 PM

Comments

It's all inside-baseball, Poland. Critics should be professional enough to deal with late screenings. As long as the dailies can safely make their deadlines, then I can't imagine it making a damn bit of difference.

If said professional critics take it out on the film just because Sam Ruben saw it a week before they did, then that says a LOT about the state of film criticism in the country today, does it not?

Posted by: Wrecktum at June 21, 2005 06:25 PM

A lot of critics crying about access. But hiding it does scream that it is not that good. That is perception.

Posted by: Terence D [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 21, 2005 06:30 PM

if u have it, show it. if u don't try to create buzz with what u don't see. or have ur star parade around with a starlet and jump on a couch.

Posted by: bicycle bob [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 21, 2005 06:33 PM

How can you go wrong with Spielberg, some aliens and Cruise? I haven't even read one review on this yet but I'll see it

Posted by: LesterFreed [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 21, 2005 06:49 PM

"Will critics and writers take it out on the movie? Unlikely."

This is, quite possibly, the most naive thing I have ever read by a person who prides himself on being a savvy industry observer.

Posted by: Joe Leydon [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 21, 2005 07:18 PM

i don't think this guy is too savvy. i don't care what his rep is

Posted by: bicycle bob [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 21, 2005 07:46 PM

bicycle bob, do you realize that you just said Dave Poland is not too savvy? No problem with that, but I just wanted to make sure you understood what you were saying.

Posted by: Chester at June 21, 2005 08:32 PM

actually i'm talking about this rubin guy. dave is as savvy as it gets. except for his love of the rundown.

Posted by: bicycle bob [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 21, 2005 09:07 PM

Basically the pre marketing to this movie is raisin eye brows all over the place. But i have to think that this isn't incompetence since it is a 200$ million dollar Spielberg movie. They have to have some kind of plan. Right?

Posted by: LesterFreed [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 21, 2005 09:24 PM

"They have to have some kind of plan. Right?"

Lester, I'm sure we'd all like to think so. But what's the plan? So far it's just been flashing the words "Cruise" and "Spielberg" in the trailers and commercials. They have yet to put on display anything really special, original or innovative about the film, and I for one am concerned that they seem to be relying a little too smugly on name-brand appeal alone this close to the release date.

Posted by: Chester at June 21, 2005 09:38 PM

It's Paramount. 'Nuff said. When was the last time they ran a great marketing campaign?

Posted by: Wrecktum at June 21, 2005 09:42 PM

I would hope a production of this magnitude has a plan. Otherwise every exec in that studio and the production office should be canned. The words Cruise only sell Star magazine and Oprah shows now.

Posted by: Terence D [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 21, 2005 09:43 PM

kinda reminds me when they didn't show godzilla. look how good that one turned out

Posted by: bicycle bob [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 21, 2005 09:53 PM

I'll keep having faith in Cruise until he really disappoints. He hasn't since Far and Away.

Posted by: Mark at June 21, 2005 10:20 PM

Were you covering films when JURASSIC PARK came out, David? I'm not trying to be snarky... I genuinely don't know when you started writing about the business.

This is the EXACT same pattern of release that he used for the first JURASSIC PARK. I was working at Universal that summer, and even the employees of the studio didn't get to see it until five days before release. There were no photos of dinosaurs anywhere. The only pre-release reviews were in the trades and in TIME and NEWSWEEK, which had to be very careful about what they did or did not disclose.

I've heard over and over that this year is 1993 all over again for Spielberg, which means he'll probably take the exact opposite approach for VENGEANCE, showing it early and often if it ends up being the film he thinks it's going to be. WOTW was always about hiding the big stuff as long as possible. Hell, remember how they handled E.T. before it came out? Most audiences didn't even know what E.T. stood for, and they had no idea what to expect from the film itself.

I think he just likes the hide-and-seek, and I don't believe it's about disrespect at all.

Posted by: Drew at June 21, 2005 11:04 PM

"Basically the pre marketing to this movie is raisin eye brows all over the place."

whew. for a minute there I was thinking I was very unobservant when last in LA. I didn't see anyone with raisin eyebrows, not even studio boot licking toadies.

Then I realised Lester forgot the "g". Raising eyebrows! Ohhhhh.

Doesn't seem to be raising eyebrows does it--I mean it's just updated Signs + a little more xenophobia + Tom Cruise in the mix.

It might be good, I love HG Wells inspired stuff hence my name, but it just seems overwrought somehow.

And the main poster sure does look like the cover of a L Ron Hubbard book. Not good.

I'll see it anyway.

Posted by: Lota at June 21, 2005 11:56 PM

Great points, Drew. Is Poland complaining because he hasn't been asked to see it yet?

Posted by: Wrecktum at June 22, 2005 12:01 AM

It's hard to imagine a movie more xenophobic than Signs. Remember, Spielberg's a big old lefty, his movie will not go that route. (please note discussion of politics in terms of movie content).

Posted by: jeffmcm at June 22, 2005 12:03 AM

I know about M. Night's political/religious leanings but how was SIGNS particularly more xenophobic than any other film from the genre? I thought that first WotW Superbowl teaser had a serious xenophobic vibe going on.

Posted by: Twitchy at June 22, 2005 12:48 AM

Granted the alien invaders genre is inherently xenophobic, but there are degrees, and this was a movie about how satisfying it would be to find a home invader and beat the crap out of him with a baseball bat. Add in the fact that they were filming the movie in the fall of 2001.

Posted by: jeffmcm at June 22, 2005 12:54 AM

Jurassic Park was a different era of marketing... and at the time it came out, it was truly one of a kind.

The point is valid. SS might be living in his past and unable to see the new trajectory.

And Joe... really... I have some critics I don't think much of, but do you really think they would raise forces against this film because they weren't in the first group of viewers? Seems self-destructive. Of course, if the film turned out to be borderline, it could tip things.

I remember being at that Godzilla junket... creepy. I thought the film was overly abused, even though it was not very good. But you could almost feel the rage grow as the day progressed.

Posted by: David Poland [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 22, 2005 01:04 AM

Why let a few see it and run reviews early but not let other respected journos see it and review it? Not a good strategy. Just weird.

Posted by: joefitz84 [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 22, 2005 01:09 AM

David: Go back and read the columns you wrote after the release of the first "Matrix" sequel. Remember the one in which you suggested (not even half-jokingly) that, hey, maybe Warners shouldn't pre-screen "Revolutions" to people who trashed "Reloaded"? Well, maybe Paramount simply is trying a variation of the game plan you suggested. That is, they’re showing “WotW” last to the snarkiest writers.

Or... more likely... maybe they're showing it to the critics/journalists they deem most likely to give it a fair shake. And in their eyes, maybe "most likely to be fair" = "mainstream press" (as opposed to bloggers, on-liners, website hosts, etc.) Of course, this COULD backfire when the, ahem, less prestigious journalists get a look. Because mediocre (or worse) critics travel in packs, and they are fearsome in their rage when they tear into fresh game.

(And before anybody asks: I don't get to see it until Monday night. So that means I ain’t got no cachet, either.)

Posted by: Joe Leydon at June 22, 2005 01:38 AM

P.S. Dave, you do realize, don't you, that after you've bitched like this in print, anything critical you say about the film will be taken with entire shakers of salt?

Posted by: Joe Leydon at June 22, 2005 01:39 AM

Joe, why you bustin his balls? We all give him a pass for his huge defense of the Matrix sequels. Time has healed all wounds.

Posted by: Anonymous at June 22, 2005 02:09 AM

You mean, his huge defense of Reloaded and his embarrassed avoidance of Revolutions.

Posted by: jeffmcm at June 22, 2005 02:15 AM

I can't even think about those movies. They ruined a great first film for me. Keanu has never been cuter.

Posted by: Angelus21 [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 22, 2005 02:48 AM

I don't know anything about WOTW other than what I've seen in the trailers/commercials and from the novel, but I'm beginning to get a real bored vibe from it. Perhaps there's more to it than I can think of, but it doesn't look like there's much meat there(and I say that as a fan of the genre and Spielberg).

Maybe it's Cruise's increasing public insanity burning me out. I dunno. But doing this doesn't increase my hope for it. Hopefully that'll put me in a position to be pleasantly surprised.

Posted by: PastePotPete [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 22, 2005 03:29 AM

Read the book first if you want boring. I hope SS really gives us something different.

Posted by: Angelus21 [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 22, 2005 04:08 AM

I don't think WotW is going to be anything like Signs. Signs was very claustrophobic movie where you saw the aliens for all of about 10 seconds. I think they're keeping the aliens out of the WotW ads and trailers (for the most part anyway) to keep a sense of mystery. Spielberg has said that he thinks the whole don't show mentality is the way to go.

On the review front, I'm all for reviews-at-the-last-minute thing if the movie is reliant on something the makers don't wish to get out.

Take Scream 3 for instance (two Scream references in one day, yay for me), they didn't allow critics to see it until basically the day it was being released and even then they were absolutely forbidden from releasing any minute details. And if critics hated it (which they did) they would probably may have given away bits just to punish it.

Having said that, Scream 3 is sort of like the Showgirls of the horror genre, non? Obviously it is a comedy in the form of a silly horror movie! What better way to subvert the genre even more than to make a film in a series that changed the genre a completely non-horror movie.

...(be quiet)

Posted by: KamikazeCamel at June 22, 2005 02:38 PM

Signs and Worlds are going to be two different movies. Signs was about a family on a farm. Worlds is about inner city people running away from the invaders. The core is the same. Aliens come and attack. But I don't think water is going to kill the Spielberg aliens. Just a guess.

Posted by: BluStealer [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 22, 2005 03:11 PM

I thought Signs was the worst of the M Night movies.

Posted by: Terence D [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 22, 2005 03:55 PM

"But I don't think water is going to kill the Spielberg aliens. Just a guess."

I take it you haven't read the H.G. Wells novel, eh?

Posted by: moviefreek at June 22, 2005 08:45 PM

I haven't and if what you are getting at is true then I don't think I even want to see this.

Posted by: BluStealer [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 22, 2005 08:56 PM

If this be anything like Signs than we all in big, big trouble. So is Spielberg.

Posted by: LesterFreed [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 22, 2005 09:13 PM

I thought "Signs" was nifty. "The Village," on the other hand, I still haven't decided if I was really clever for figuring it out the first time William Hurt spoke; MNS was insulting my intelligence by making it so ridiculously obvious; or he was just being really, really friggin' lazy.

Posted by: VGM at June 23, 2005 01:35 AM

"God's great plan" for Mel aside, Signs was considerably influenced by WOTW, book and movie, ending (of the aliens) included. The difference between farm & city is kinda immaterial IMUHO.

The new WOTW may really good, but I really hated the xenophobic preachiness of Signs and the ending, so I hope SPielberg hasn't upped the cheese but advance word on the ending is not what I'd like.

It would be a more interesting movie if the humans lose big-style, but no chance. Tom Cruise must win.

It will be interesting to see if Spielberg is more faithful to the original novel, which differed from the 1953 movie in many significant ways including social commentary & gross differences in technology between the aliens and earthlings.

The social commentary in Signs was Fundamentalist, I do hope there is less of this and more of Wells in Spielberg interpretation of WOTW.

Posted by: Lota at June 23, 2005 02:35 AM

Signs was terrible.

Posted by: Mark at June 23, 2005 04:19 AM

Nifty? Wow? Get a life.

Posted by: Mark at June 23, 2005 04:20 AM

I thought Signs was terrible, but I can't help it when I see the WOTW trailer, that I think of Signs.

Maybe instead of stabbing/killing/eliminating aliens Tom will just try to get them "CLear" then we can all be friends.

Posted by: Lota at June 23, 2005 04:31 AM

I think Mark needs to settle down. Geez. It's only an alien movie!

I thought Signs was actually really good. Had a great atmosphere, had some very scary moments, some inspired moments, technically it was very good and while the very end was a misfire it didn't bother me that much,

The birthday party scene scared the pants off of me (and everyone else in a cinema of 500)

Posted by: KamikazeCamel at June 23, 2005 08:18 AM

Drudge has latched onto this story.

Posted by: VGM at June 23, 2005 03:28 PM

I'm so turned off by this film now, even though I had been looking forward to making it my summer concession to mindless big event movies.

Tom is just getting weirder and weirder, with his Scientology cult out in the open so boldly, and his cult approved bride to be... his head splitting uncontrolled inappropriate laughter, sofa jumping and Steven's cowtowing to it all. I've got no choice now. My personal little boycott of WOW won't mean a thing to anyone else, but I'll sleep easier at night knowning I didn't buy into the mess. Besides, Dakota Fanning is annoying.

It wont matter what the critics say today or next week about the quality of the film. No one under 30 pays any attention any more. The younger audience choses to attend movies based on hype.

Posted by: hatchling at June 23, 2005 07:28 PM

It's called foreplay, guys.

After almost ten years of internet spoiling our movie experience, Uncle Steven, thinking he's got lightening in a bottle, is merely trying to save a few experiences for the audience. There might be a big spoiler or two that he doesn't want revealed. I think the embargo is very much in line with the marketing. For some reason he really wants us going into this one only knowing the first 13 minutes. And you have to admit, as we move closer, the Tom/Katie thing is starting to push away and the possibility of a new Spielberg classic really looms.

"AI" or "Private Ryan?" We're about to find out, kids.

Posted by: You-Go at June 23, 2005 07:46 PM

In case you were under a rock or something but the movie is based on a book written over 100 years ago. And yeah it was a pretty popular work.

Posted by: LesterFreed [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 23, 2005 07:54 PM

I do not think there has been anything weirder or more strange than the very public meltdown of Tom Cruise. I think it will effect the box office of this movie.

Posted by: Mark at June 23, 2005 10:17 PM

" "AI" or "Private Ryan?" We're about to find out, kids. "

In the furture, to avoid confusion use '1941' as the example of 'bad Spielberg'.

Posted by: brett at June 23, 2005 10:35 PM

Everyone is overthinking this issue - Spielberg is openly pissed about the TomKat uber-coverage that's predominated the press junket by the mainstream media. His only way of getting back is by clamping down on the film review itself.

It's his way of saying, "if you weren't interested in covering the film in the first place, then I'm not going to let you cover it until the last possible moment".

If it was a film quality issue, he would've had Paramount call AICN weeks ago threatening to kill Harry's deal if they ran one more review. Instead, they've put up two more in the past week.

Posted by: Martin S at June 23, 2005 11:33 PM

Sorry Brett,

I did really love "AI." I just really want the level of success and public embrace for this one to be on the classic scale. That said, "1941" and "Always" are better than any Michael Bay film.

Posted by: You-Go at June 24, 2005 08:24 AM

Hook is the worst.

Posted by: jeffmcm at June 24, 2005 08:30 AM

this may be another 1941/hook.

Posted by: bicycle bob [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 24, 2005 02:04 PM

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