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August 26, 2006

Friday Estimates by Klady - 8/26/06

A fairly ugly weekend heating up…

The reasonably leggy holdovers – Talladega Nights, Little Miss Sunshine, World Trade Center – should all do more than triple the Friday number. Same with the two children’s films, Barnyard and How To Eat Fried Worms. If it weren’t opening weekend, you could be pretty sure about the same for Invincible, which seems to be a quality experience… but will girls go with their boyfriends/husbands on Date Night?

Boy this is boring.

Late August blue.

==========================

Invincible | 5.4 | 2917 | - | 5.4
Beerfest | 2.7 | 2964 | - | 2.7
Talladega Nights | 2.5 | 3370 | -40% | 122.2
Accepted | 2.1 | 2917 | -44% | 16.7
Idlewild | 2.1 | 973 | - | 2.1
Little Miss Sunshine | 2.0 | 1430 | 28% | 46.1
Step Up | 1.9 | 2647 | -44% | 46.1
Snakes on a Plane | 1.8 | 3555 | -66% | 22.1
World Trade Center | 1.8 | 3021 | -44% | 51
Barnyard | 1.5 | 3003 | -28% | 50.7
How to Eat Worms | 1.2 | 1870 | - | 1.2

Posted by poland at August 26, 2006 10:27 AM

Comments

Snakes on a Plane held up well... not.

Interesting because even if Snakes had opened big, lets say 25 mill, this huge dropoff was always in the cards, so a domestic max of $40-50 mill was unavoidable. Now it looks like it will barely break $30.

Overall a very slooooow weekend. Invincible opened within expectations, it also seems like it will have decent legs, perhaps finishing up with about $50.

Posted by: martin [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 26, 2006 10:36 AM

Considering "Idlewild" is playing in fewer theaters than any other Top Ten film -- yes, even fewer than "Sunshine" -- $2.1 million isn't exactly sucky, is it?

Posted by: Joe Leydon [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 26, 2006 10:45 AM

"$2.1 million isn't exactly sucky, is it?"

No, but too bad the movie is.

Good to see BEERFEST rightfully failing. What an awful film.

Posted by: blythecummings [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 26, 2006 12:39 PM

Ouch! From #1 to as low as #9 the next. Is that a record? Surely it is.

But, yeah, fairly unexciting weekend at the box-office.

Posted by: KamikazeCamelV2.0 [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 27, 2006 12:35 AM

"Ouch! From #1 to as low as #9 the next. Is that a record? Surely it is."

Couldn't find anything that went from #1 to 9... but Star Trek Nemesis went from #2 to 8 with a 76% 2nd weekend drop. Snakes won't have that big a percentage drop but having 4 new movies opening didn't help... still that's very bad and there's little chance of it recovering at this point. It's destined for DVD cult classicdom. The "media" have done their duty of taking down "the internet." They really should have released this in June in one of the weeks before Superman. Or released it in the winter/spring. Much worse movies do much better in that period.

Posted by: EDouglas [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 27, 2006 05:06 AM

From the reports I've seen from theatre managers, we're probably going to see a shake-up in the order from Friday to the weekend... I wouldn't be surprised if Little Miss Sunshine ends up 3rd for the weekend and Snakes ends up higher when all is said and done.

Posted by: EDouglas [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 27, 2006 05:21 AM

"Star Trek Nemesis went from #2 to 8 with a 76% 2nd weekend drop."

Ouch. It truly is dead, Jim. Thanks Rick Berman for defecating on a once vibrant franchise.

As for BEERFEST, maybe it shoulda been released around spring break. I don't get the August opening.

Posted by: Spacesheik [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 27, 2006 06:07 AM

John Carpeneter's Vampires went from #1 to #8. It's the largest drop I can think of.

Posted by: Filipe [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 27, 2006 07:31 AM

John Carpenter's Vampires went from #1 to #8. It's the largest drop I can think of.

Posted by: Filipe [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 27, 2006 07:31 AM

dayumn! That had to hurt...

Wouldn't the Broken Lizard movies work in January when there's nothing out except horror movies for teens? I mean, there has been some awful crap making money in January.

Posted by: KamikazeCamelV2.0 [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 27, 2006 09:27 AM

Douglas, I would expect there to be some changes considering how close those Friday numbers were. We can only hope that Little Miss Sunshine gets as high as #3

Posted by: KamikazeCamelV2.0 [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 27, 2006 09:28 AM

Ah Blythe, such a scourge, had a perfectly good time at Idlewild, I'd hate to have waited for the small screen, it's wildly inventive and satisfying using digital intermediate art happiness to bring viz effects to life without choking the movie to within an inch of its life.

Hope that didn't contain any hyperbole.
DP, thanks for pointing out the Shortbus, One To Another and Severance trailers. schweet

Posted by: T.H.Ung [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 27, 2006 09:47 AM

Box Office Mojo has LMS up to thrid of the weekend with 7.5 million. It sunday once again outplacing it friday number. My guess is it will reach second next 4 day weekend. I mean Wicken Man is the biggest opening, and I do not see it cracking the top 3.

Posted by: Paul8148 [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 27, 2006 09:55 AM

going into the wayback machine...

i remember Mobsters opening up at #2, then falling out of the top 10 alltogether one week later.

Posted by: anghus [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 27, 2006 09:55 AM

Dude, Invincible was great. It was great story, whether you're a die-hard Eagles fan or not. It didn't fall into the typical pitfalls of many films within its genre, but I still left wanting to jump up down in the theaters.

It was also great to see Kinnear killing it in two films, playing SUCH differnt roles. He is one of the most underrated actors in Hollywood.

Posted by: kickballchamp [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 28, 2006 04:31 PM

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