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January 20, 2007

Friday Estimates by Klady

Title | Distributor | Gross * | Theaters | % Change | Cume
Stomp the Yard | Sony | 3.7 | 2051 | -49% | 32
Night at the Museum | Fox | 3 | 3483 | -28% | 195.8
The Hitcher | Focus | 2.8 | 2831 | New | 2.8
Dreamgirls | Par | 2.2 | 2214 | 3% | 71.7
The Pursuit of Happyness | Sony | 1.9 | 3066 | -25% | 141.7
Freedom Writers | Par | 1.6 | 2286 | -26% | 22.9
Pan's Labyrinth | Picturehouse | 1.4 | 609 | 126% | 6.2
Children of Men | Uni | 1.1 | 1524 | -41% | 23.5
Alpha Dog | Uni | 0.95 | 1292 | -59% | 8.4
The Queen | Miramax | 0.8 | 1586 | 189% | 32.6

Posted by poland at January 20, 2007 09:37 AM

Comments

So Pan's Labyrinth is doing almost as well as Dreamgirls on 1/3 the screens, and is beating the Queen at the expansion game with only 2/5 their screens. Does anyone doubt that PL could have earned that Crouching Tiger type of nomination if it weren't for a shortened season? The film looks like it could be an unexpected commercial success (for a Spanish language R rated 'dark' movie)

Pursuit of Happyness continues to do phenomenally well. Perhaps it'll surprise us on monday with unexpected nominations.

Posted by: movielocke [TypeKey Profile Page] at January 20, 2007 11:01 AM

Locke the Pan number is good but it certainly doesn't suggest lots of $$ down the road. Crouching Tiger comparison is crazy, PL will be happy to finish up with 20 mill domestic and a nice DVD run.

Posted by: martin [TypeKey Profile Page] at January 20, 2007 11:32 AM

Plus CROUCHING was a total box-office fluke that won't be repeated any time soon. Even Barker and Bernard, hardly the most modest of men, admitted they never expected it to do anywhere near those kind of numbers.

Posted by: Cadavra [TypeKey Profile Page] at January 20, 2007 12:30 PM

You just answered your own question locke. Pan's is a "Spanish language R rated 'dark' movie". Best Director, quite possibly (it's still possible now), but Picture? No way.

Why do people keep going on about longer Oscar season when so many people seem to hate discussing the Oscars so much. Is another month what we want? And, if you do think something like Pan's could get a Best Picture nomination, then why didn't they bother releasing it in October or sometime like that? It screened at CANNES! It's not like it wasn't ready.

Posted by: KamikazeCamelV2.0 [TypeKey Profile Page] at January 20, 2007 07:42 PM

Yeah, "Pan: is certainly nothing like Crouching Tiger. But to be fair, it doesn't have near the marketing campaign and this really is a much tougher film to market than Crouching Tiger. The marketers can't figure out what demographic to go after specifically.

Either way, strong word of mouth has propelled the film over $10 million over the weekend and it should pass "The Protector" in 5 days. Might crack the top 10 foreign language films of all time (non-US) in a week. The film's early box office legs are much stronger than Capote's were last year so a sneak-in still might have a 1 in 50 possibility.

Posted by: EthanG [TypeKey Profile Page] at January 21, 2007 10:05 AM

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