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I'm surprised so few people think Prada has a shot at costume design. I think it'll win the category.

Likewise for Peter OToole, precursors be damned, I think he's getting an oscar.

best picture matches pretty much what I think, Departed barely in front with an easy LMS upset in the cards. Babel is skulking around while Iwo Jima is waiting to snipe any survivors.

I foresee a big split and spread this year, with Dreamgirls taking about four oscars and Departed only getting 3 or so, and none of the other BP noms getting more than 2.

It's a fascinating race, one of the most interesting in a long time.

Prada doesn't have a chance at costume design it will be betw. Marie Antoinette and DG, becasuse -- they were designs made from Scratch. Prada 'borrows' clothes already made and they're clothes by various designers.
Don't you remember Streep saying at the GG that the producers donated the clothes to a woman's shelter?

I don't know (or care) anything about fashion, but the designs in The Devil Wears Prada made the women look like crazy stick-apes. None of the people who were supposed to look 'attractive' were.

When did DP start predicting The Departed? I feel like he hasn't really given us his thoughts on where this wide-open best picture race stands. I hope the Departed wins, but thought the CW was on the side of LMS.

Maybe I missed a 20 Weeks to Oscar where he discusses this?

Oh, please tell me that Best Live Action Short won't go to West Bank Story - it's horrible. I really hope that it's frontrunner status here is based on people thinking that its premise sounds cute and not on actually having seen it.

This is the very first week he's been predicting The Departed - all along he has said, "it will never win best pic." Unless, of course, you've all forgotten our endless arguments on the subject. It still might not win, but it's interesting to note his turn-around.

The Devil Wears Prada deserves the Best Costume Design oscar just as much as Marie Antoinette or Dreamgirls or Curse of the Golden Flower. Without the costumes that movie would have been dead in the water.

I think Patricia Field can indeed win. Yes, the costume branch has a contemporary bias, but that's the branch. The entire academy who votes could see the designs as way more character-creating than anything else nominated.

Ugh. Why is An Inconvenient Truth going to win Best Documentary? It's documenting a speech, not global warming. Completely different.

Oh, and I'm surprised so many people think Gustavo Santaolalla will win Original Score again. Especially considering it's not even that great (and heavily borrowed, apparently). I think that category is between The Queen and Pan's.

And the Art Direction of Dreamgirls does NOT warrent a third Oscar for Myrhe in five years (Chicago and Memoirs of a Geisha being the others). How complex is it to design a stage?

Funny how Dreamgirls and Pan's Labyrinth are the two films that could easily be the film with the most Oscars at the end of the night.

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