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October 27, 2007
20 Weeks/T-Minus 19 - Whning While Mining
Look… there is a real discussion to be had about how independent-minded movies are being released, how screens are held and lost, and what the future for this kind of product really might be. But hysteria over a few films that didn’t catch in limited releases is short-sighted hooey. This is the same mentality that derided Ratatouille this summer before that film ended up with more than $200 million domestic and over $515 million worldwide… in the top half of all Pixar films and passing cars’ worldwide gross by over $50 million. (Cars was a licensing boon… but that’s a different discussion.)
There are already a dozen Oscar-hopeful corpses littering multiplex lobbies, praying for handouts from the actors come January. Another dozen will be coming up to bat in the next month. Only five can get nominated. Last year, only a dozen films from Sept-Nov that were seriously chasing Oscar ever cracked $10 million. This year will surely beat that number by a fair margin.
Posted by poland at October 27, 2007 06:52 AM
Comments
hilarious. you think hairspray will be nominated for best picture.
even more funny is the John Travolta best supporting actor. but Dave, I think you chose the wrong movie he'll be nominated for. His Wild Hogs role was meatier.
of course i'm being completely sarcastic. Both roles are absolutely horrible.
Posted by: seanwithaw ![[TypeKey Profile Page]](http://www.mcnblogs.com/thehotblog/nav-commenters.gif)
at October 27, 2007 09:54 AM
To think it doesn't have a chance is rather narrow-minded. It didn't make all that money because people didn't like it or because it was driven by a gay audience.
And as for Travolta, you should try seeing the film with an non-critics audience that has an opinion about the performance.
I don't think it is a lock or anything like that. But I do think there will be one lighter picture and I think that the two other significant candidates to be that picture - Juno and Lars - have issues. Sweeney could block Hairspray too... but we'll have to see it to know. Or, of course, there could simply be no "light" entry... or Charlie Wilson's War could be seen as "light" or something else. This is why I have weekly charts. I am not a clairvoyant... i just read where things are each week for 20.
Posted by: David Poland at October 27, 2007 02:44 PM
Wild Hogs was light and made a lot more money than Hairspray. So I think it also has Best picture potential as well.
Posted by: seanwithaw at October 27, 2007 04:25 PM
Yes... and when Disney thinks so, I will consider it.
Oscar is not a vacuum and not about whether you or I liked a movie.
Posted by: David Poland at October 27, 2007 05:52 PM
Yes, but you've been pushing Hairspray more than anyone.
Posted by: jeffmcm at October 27, 2007 06:14 PM
Oh lighten up, gang. Poland is the Sisyphus of Oscar bloggers... cursed to push a Broadway musical adaptation up Academy Awards Hill year after year, only to have it roll down come nomination time.
Posted by: Crow T Robot at October 27, 2007 07:04 PM
oh i only tease. if hairspray is nominated. john waters will be happy. so that's good.
Posted by: seanwithaw at October 28, 2007 08:35 AM
Travolta being nominated is more than possible. I can't say for the industry, but a lot of people love him in that movie. I mean, I lot of people also love Amanda Bynes and she ain't getting nominated, but when you have someone as perrenially popular as Travolta in a hit film doing a major dose of stunt casting then you have GOT to consider it.
Posted by: KamikazeCamelV2.0 at October 28, 2007 09:31 PM
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