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November 19, 2007
A New York State Of Strike
After a day of running around The City... seeing yet another movie that is going to be very successful but about which I cannot write (the other one was a much bigger surprise... and is going to be shockingly successful, even if it gets shredded by some cranky critics who can't see the schmaltz for the aesthetic)... and spending a bit of time with the still-charmingly unassuming Amy Adams (who could end up in the movie Nine now that Catherine Zeta-Jones has dropped out... a notion which Amy not only didn't come up with, but didn't seem to think was possible)... I'm writing in a coffee shop... the natural habitat of all writers.
And...
The vibe around New York’s stage strike is strikingly different than the vibe of the primarily Los Angeles-heavy WGA Strike. There is anger. There is frustration. There are people losing paychecks that will never, ever be recovered. And in this case, the central issue is that, in the harsh bright light, the producers actually are looking for a rollback.
Basically, the union requires each Broadway theater to hire a set minimum number of people… and producers feel that number is too high.
Worse, a deal was struck over the weekend by one leader of the stage union… and was then vetoed by the guy above him.
Of course, the huge difference between these two situations is the hugeness of the corporations involved. Broadway, in spite of major investment by Disney and smaller investments from GE/NBC/Universal, MGM, New Line, The Weinstein Co and others in recent years, is still basically a mom & pop business. And shows, everyone knows, lose money all the time.
The whole David vs Goliath thing is not in play here… whether in reality or in the emotional life of this strike. (Ironically, the most expensive ticket in town, Young Frankenstein, continues to run by some rule by which its theater is not being struck, as does Mary Poppins, one of the shows from Disney.)
Call me old fashioned, but there is something charming - if that's the word - about a strike that actually shuts things down and puts real and immediate pressure on all of the players.
ADD - The Bagger, aka David Carr on a similar tack
Posted by poland at November 19, 2007 01:01 PM
Comments
Why did Catherine Zeta-Jones drop out of Nine? Its not like she has a whole lot of amazing sounding films coming out in the near future that dropping what sounds like it could be a great role for her seems to be a smart move.
I would think, also, that she'd want to work with Rob Marshall again?
Posted by: psf
at November 19, 2007 03:12 PM
Two movies are....potentials:
Charlie Wilson's War
The Bucket List
Grace is Gone (but he's probably already seen it)
Sweeney Todd full version...
My two guesses - Bucket List (successful) Charlie Wilson's (successful but not critic-proof)
Posted by: bipedalist
at November 19, 2007 04:43 PM
I would bet on the Golden Compass as the successful one and The Great Debaters being the other one
Posted by: 4nkate
at November 19, 2007 04:56 PM
Dave, the Broadway workers are actually striking against you. So you can't write anymore about musicals.
Posted by: mutinyco
at November 19, 2007 05:25 PM
There's really no rhyme or reason in regards to why Poland likes something or why he doesn't. I also have no idea why you're being such a bastard about this strike and think it's not having a strong effect on the studios and the networks. Maybe it's because you have Tom Rothman's number in your cell phone and you're blinded by the bullshit. Who knows? You're not going to change your tune and that's why I've spent the last few weeks reading Nikki Finke's page ten times as often as I've checked this one...and she's a fucking lunatic. But at least she's not oddly on the studio's side.
Posted by: Rothchild
at November 19, 2007 06:09 PM
It's not so odd. Studios buy the ads that pay Poland's bills. Writers don't. I'm not saying he intentionally skews his coverage btw, but it's probably there under the surface somewhere.
Poland frequently takes a fiscally minded bent to his industry analysis and I think that's what fuelling his obvious contempt for the WGA side of the strike.
I also think he's unaware of this tendency, he just thinks it's the actual logical factual truth of the matter, and that everyone else is fooling themselves. It's the same mindset he's always exhibited, though usually it's about Oscar movies, whether he thinks too highly of Phantom of the Opera's chances, Dreamgirls' chances, or Hairspray's.
Anyway I've been hard on him for the past couple of weeks so I think I'll stop here for a while. I really do like his work despite these recurring and ludicrous blindspots.
Posted by: PastePotPete
at November 19, 2007 06:42 PM
Let us all pour some wine for the inner theatre fan of Heat. He went all the way across the country see some shows and the shows were not there. Sad. Very very very sad.
Posted by: IOIOIOI
at November 19, 2007 06:55 PM
I feel the writers deserve a better deal than they are asking for, actually. But I think they are caught on the history of it all... something the studios don't seem too worried about except when it benefits them.
And I can do math, Rothchild. The first month of the strike is PROFITABLE for the studios because of the deals they can dump. Once the WGA struck, there was never an issue of it ending in less than a month for that reason.
The month of December is a dead month in town, so while I hope there will be a quick resolution, I don't see much give coming from the studios until mid-January. That is when they will get the sense that there is some real pain coming, with Sweeps Month February coming with no new product except reality shows to promote. If the strike isn't over, this will be the biggest season of American Idol ever. On the other hand, that is a huge loss for Fox because they won't be able to piggyback new programming on it.
I am sorry I am a realist and not a rallier over this. I have a great deal of respect for a number of the people who pushed and believe in this strike date... and I still don't agree that it was the right choice. Taking the double residual for DVD off the table, when in fact, that would still be half as much as the union should be getting is not a great moment.
What I keep suggesting is that the unions looking at the future and figuring out a system that says something like, "X dollars for every 500,000 people seeing the product in any delivery system and X cents for every unit sold at under $5, $5 - $10, and over $20," is not a bad idea. Maybe it flies, maybe it doesn't. But it pushes movement. What about a system that is not based on profit and loss, but on gross revenues versus general costs categories.
You know, the idea that I am "anti-writer" on this is quite frustrating. Like so many things, it doesn't seem that one can be critical at all without being deemed to be on "the other side." I don't think it serves anyone well to spin the truth into propaganda... at least not when it won't turn the game around. Don't tell me about how evil The Devil is when you are trying to cut a deal with him... look "him" in the eyes, assess what he really wants and make your deal.
And let this buzz around your brain for a bit... doesn't this all remind you a bit of the Democrats and the Republicans? Winning and losing happen... but losing when you so obviously should win, because you have right on your side - and the writers do - is deeply painful. I do not want to see that happen again. Does this make my philosophy on this overly cautious or overly aggressive? Perhaps. But I do believe that the p.r. story here can work for the guild. They really have to tell the story better though. My opinion.
Posted by: David Poland
at November 19, 2007 06:58 PM
I don't think Dave is anti-writer, I think he is anti-Nikki because every post of Dave's about the major online source of news on the strike tries to denigrate her "publish everything" coverage of the strike while he somehow still tries to promote the position that he isn't being spun despite posting very selective coverage of the strike. It's not that different from the growling, raised hackles, and marking of territory he does with AICN or anytime Drew posts on this blog.
Posted by: movielocke
at November 19, 2007 08:08 PM
guesses on the movies:
can't write: - Golden Compass
most critics dismiss because of the shmaltz - August Rush
Posted by: movielocke
at November 19, 2007 08:14 PM
Are those movies he can't write about coming this year? For all we know, they could be coming in May.
Posted by: Blackcloud
at November 20, 2007 07:44 AM
Did CZJ drop out of Nine because the film has been delayed due to the strike or for inexplicable reason like not wanting to work on a second musical with the director who won her an oscar.
Posted by: KamikazeCamelV2.0
at November 20, 2007 08:36 PM
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