« Friday Estimates by Klady | Main | Pale In Comparison »

September 21, 2008

Weekened Estimates by Klady

wknd092108.jpg

Posted by dpoland at September 21, 2008 01:32 PM

Comments

Dave, how are you not brutalizing that idiot Finke for claiming that Warner's won with The Women and somehow it was her idea and they listened to her.....IDIOT! They were going to dump that movie at some point, and just because it came with a couple of TV spots...a dump is still a dump. Finke's an idiot!

Posted by: the keoki [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 21, 2008 02:08 PM

I commented at the bottom of the Friday est entry.

I consider the choice a draw at this point. The movie will come close to covering the added expense of this release and it will have increased post-theatrical value as a result of the release.

On the other hand, it will still lose millions of dollars. But I don't think that the Picturehouse dump with a $3 million ad spend would have done this much money. It may well have been a $7 million grossing yawn.

So... a push. A waste of WB/Picturehouse's efforts when they have other challenging pictures coming, including another "women's movie" next weekend. But it didn't turn out to be a major mistake... and it certainly is not a success by any standard.

Nikki patting herself on the back is not unexpected. And because she understands nothing about box office or business in any real way, I imagine she actualy believes that when a publicist or exec tells her how right she was, she believes it.

Nikki's value remains as a barometer of who has weak game. And any wag who has to tell you endlessly how powerful they think they are, how ahead of the game they think they are, and how others follow then, is showing their weakness as well.

Are we really down to thinking that "reporting" on who had dinner last week is reporting? Are we really counting press releases as "breaking news?"

It really is like Deliverance out there... trying to paddle upstream when the banjo pickers are talking about all movies being in 3D (when hell freezes over) and which washed up self-promoter they are having lunch with today or sucking up to whatever studio gives them the most information 3 hours before the tell the lie to others or just jerking off in public and hoping it will draw a crowd... zzzzz... a bad dream.

Posted by: David Poland [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 21, 2008 03:12 PM

In the Friday estimates blog Joe Leydon made an interesting point when he wondered aloud whether Warners should have bit the bullet and opened "Appaloosa" wide this weekend.
(I remember thinking the same thing last year around this time when WB platformed "Jesse James" into oblivion; and "Appaloosa" is a lot more commercial than "JJ," even if it lacks a "star who opens movies" name like Brad Pitt.)
...particularly when you consider the cluster fuck of product opening Oct. 3rd, the same day the Ed Harris flick is skedded to, uh, go wide:
"Blindness" (also wide), that cretinous-looking right wing David Zucker comedy, "Nick and Norah," "BH Chihuahua," "How to Lose Friends...," "Religulous" (semi-wide) and either "Flash of Genius" or "The Express" (I think) from Universal. Box Office Mojo hasn't exactly been clear on the latter.
Anybody want to make a bet that Disney's talking doggy movie
is #1 at the box-office the weekend of October 3rd?

Posted by: movieman [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 21, 2008 05:07 PM

If Screen Gems didn't believe in "Lakeview Terrace" they wouldn't have put together a 60-second TV spot for it. You rarely see 60-second adverts on American TV these days.

To movieman: "Flash of Genius" opens on 10/3 and "The Express" on 10/10.

Posted by: Chucky in Jersey [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 21, 2008 05:33 PM

Thanks dave, i must have missed that. Appreciate it. Everyone together one last time...Kinke is an idiot!

Posted by: the keoki [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 21, 2008 06:36 PM

Finke not Kinke...oops.

Posted by: the keoki [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 21, 2008 06:36 PM

LAKEVIEW TERRANCE FUCKING OWNS YOUR ASS.

NEIL LABUTE IS THE MASTER.

Watching that limp-dick Zack Morris-lookalike douche played by Patrick Wilson get his clove-smoking environmentalist ass get owned up and down THE TERRACE by Jackson in his most vibrant performance in 14 years is the very definition of TOTAL OWNAGE.

On a scale of zero to four stars I give it 5 million.

Posted by: LexG [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 21, 2008 07:01 PM

Also Kerry Washington?

I'd like to lakeview on her terrace, if you know what I mean.

TOTAL RAGER.

Posted by: LexG [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 21, 2008 07:06 PM

What the hell is up with slapping African American females in movies the last two weeks? Weird and unnecessary.

That scene was the definition of TOTAL OWNAGE.

Weird, out of place and needless.

Posted by: EthanG [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 21, 2008 09:42 PM

I too was wondering why Appaloosa didn't go wide. Surely it could have easily garnered the sort of opening weekend gross that titles like A History of Violence, The Constant Gardener, Eastern Promises and other similar adult-oriented projects get (around $10mil opening w/e). Violence even had the same two leads.

Posted by: KamikazeCamelV2.0 [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 21, 2008 09:49 PM

$15 million for Lakeview Terrace seems like a good opening to me. With Jackson as the only above-title star, nothing he's been in has opened better than that since Coach Carter in January '05. The only titles with better openings for Screen Gems are flicks like Stomp the Yard and horror offerings. Plus, the budget was apparently only $20 million.

Posted by: Stella's Boy [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 22, 2008 06:50 AM

Post a comment

Thanks for signing in, . Now you can comment. (sign out)

(If you haven't left a comment here before, you may need to be approved by the site owner before your comment will appear. Until then, it won't appear on the entry. Thanks for waiting.)


Remember me?