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October 10, 2008
25 Days Out: McCain Steps Back
It's funny... John McCain backtracking on his outrageous negative attacks of the last couple of weeks makes me more concerned about what should be any sane standard an easy Obama win than the attacks.
Still... even if it is a tactic... good for him. It's the right thing to do, even if he and his people created the rage he is now trying to calm.
It might be a tactic. It might be a close friend warning him that he could be responsible for Obama being assassinated. There is even a report that the RNC is pulling its money from presidential advertising and putting it all into trying to save some Senate seats... which is the kind of cold water that would make most men consider how they will be remembered and stop worrying about winning quite as much.
I think this and Troopergate signal an end to whatever slim chance of coming back that McCain had. But one always worries that something might happen... that "The Bradley Effect" might be real, etc.
Here comes the weekend...

The McCain of Last Week
Posted by dpoland at October 10, 2008 07:25 PM
Comments
The CNN clip of that woman calling Obama an Arab was amazing. McCain had to jerk the mic away.
Posted by: Kristopher Tapley
at October 10, 2008 08:11 PM
I hadn't heard that a close friend of McCain warned him that he could be responsible for Obama being assassinated, or that the RNC is pulling all its money out of presidential advertising and "putting it all into trying to save some Senate seats." Do you have any links?
Posted by: mysteryperfecta
at October 10, 2008 08:19 PM
Everything but the RNC is conjecture, as noted.
The RNC report is here...
Posted by: David Poland
at October 10, 2008 08:36 PM
Just watched that CNN clip.
McCain's response to the woman is a bit unfortunate. Not intentional of course, but he did somewhat imply a disconnect between being Arab and being a decent family man.
Posted by: mud
at October 10, 2008 08:49 PM
I think McCain finally saw the face of what he has conjured up - however - dont go all soft here - the ads are still running and Palin is still out there doing her thing - if she tones down the rhetoric then I'll beleiev McCain has found his honor again.
One of the cable shows - Maddow maybe? - had a reporter who is traveling with the McCain camp note that the crowds at McCain rallies are all "Obama is a muslim" types - and that this is all the campaign has now - leaves me wondering about what the repub party looks like after this election - they have alienated ethnic minorities and people with education with their rhetoric - so that leaves them what - their "base" ? Don't win elections with that. Wonder if this leaves room for the emergence of another party?
Posted by: cobhome
at October 10, 2008 11:01 PM
I wonder too, cobhome. Maybe we're entering a USA in which the Democrats are the relatively right-wing party, and the Republicans are a fringe group.
In the 2003 mayoral election in San Francisco, the winning Democrat got 87,000 votes, the Green Party member recieved 40,000 -- and the Republican got 5,015.
We have our problems and our hack politicians, but it's a world-class city and a huge tourist destination. Natural beauty, parks, culture, restaurants, and yes, families, especially in the Western neighborhoods.
And oddly enough, it's not very often that I find myself saying "what this city really needs is more Republicans!"
Posted by: frankbooth
at October 11, 2008 12:51 AM
Is there any way we could take mysteryperfecta and make him disappear from the internet forever?
Posted by: Rothchild
at October 11, 2008 01:21 AM
mysteryperfecta hasn't done anything offensive that I've seen, other than be a Republican(snap). Seriously though, what's he done that necessitates his removal? He's like the only obvious Republican here. (Since Nicol's some sort of oddball right wing Canadian)
And I really hope that people don't believe the Republicans are going away because of a week of transparent personal attacks and some loud racist jackasses at stump speeches. Even on the most generous-to-Obama polls McCain is still above 40% of the likely voters, those people aren't going to disappear.
They'll be back in four years when Sarah Palin runs by herself, and this time they'll have a candidate they like. McCain's biggest weakness is that his own base likes him second to his running mate.
Posted by: PastePotPete
at October 11, 2008 03:38 AM
mystery is a good guy. It would be a shame if he went away.
Posted by: Stella's Boy
at October 11, 2008 04:12 AM
Yes, Mystery shouldn't go away. Also, Mgmax should come back. They're both smart and honest guys.
Did I leave somebody out? Oh well.
Posted by: jeffmcm
at October 11, 2008 04:39 AM
Golly,
Haven't been here in quite some time, thought I would drop be and you still mention me.
And as usual, calls for anyone with a dissenting voice to be taken away forever. I even popped in briefly a week ago only to find poor Mgmx defending himself from being called a racist, as I understood the thread. Brilliant. But Obama is a uniter. Of course.
I think it might be interesting to see what sort of damage the obsession with Obama on film web-sites has done to thier readership over the past year.
I rarely if ever read HE anymore and I used to read it religiously. This site has become pretty much the same with only a slightly less angry tone than HE in terms of readership and argument. Oscar numbers are down, Emmy numbers are down, and we desperately, desperately cling to the notion that adjusting film grosses for inflation is irrelevant so we can pretend people physically go to the movies in the same numbers as they used to when the overall trends and indicators are that they do not.
But obsessive, angry, mean-spirited politics has nothing to do with it. Right?
Posted by: Nicol D
at October 11, 2008 05:12 AM
since there's no BYOB, I've seen no mention, and the pictures on the thread...
Any thoughts on Spielberg, Lucas, and the forced sodomy of fictional archeologists?
Will Paramount/viacom respond?
I have a theory that trey and matt want to get fired from South Park. They've been doing it a long time and already have their F*** You money. Now it's about keeping their "street cred" as edgy satirists. Getting fired for "going to far" would do that.
I could see them making a game of it. What can we do this week to make Summer Redstone's head explode?
Or are they so known for going over the top that they're essentially "immune to prosecution" at this point.
The best strategy from "the suits" perspective is to ignore it and move on?
Posted by: messiahcomplexio
at October 11, 2008 05:47 AM
"We desperately, desperately cling to the notion that adjusting film grosses for inflation is irrelevant..."
Not all of us, Nicol. Not all of us.
And for the record: I don't cling to guns or religion, either. (Sorry, couldn't resist.)
Posted by: Joe Leydon
at October 11, 2008 06:26 AM
The problem for the GOP is that their "base" is shrinking. It's a dwindling group of mostly older people. Even Republican pollsters have found that young people's views (even red-state youngins') just don't align with the GOP on their traditional right-wing issues(abortion, religion, gay marriage, immigration etc.) in the same numbers as their parents' and grandparents' generations. So although it won't be by the next election, it's inevitable that the GOP is going to change.
Posted by: scarper86
at October 11, 2008 07:35 AM
Probably not with Sarah Palin because the state trooper scandal may very well boomerang on her.
The Republican base isn't just mostly older people. The GOP base is neocons, chickenhawks, theocrats and like-minded volk.
Posted by: Chucky in Jersey
at October 11, 2008 09:25 AM
Rothchild, come on. This isn't HE. Good thing that.
Posted by: christian
at October 11, 2008 11:30 AM
"desperately cling to the notion that adjusting film grosses for inflation is irrelevant so we can pretend people physically go to the movies in the same numbers as they used to when the overall trends and indicators are that they do not."
It IS irrelevant... nothing desperate about it.
The irony of this weird kink is that the people who are so busy counting heads are missing the point completely and the people who count the money are not.
The DVD sell-thru business, now being slowly extended by in-home delivery, changed the entire industry in a very real way just in the last few years while we have been dealing with a completely different level of moviegoing for about 40 years now.
Studios suddenly saw the income from their films increase by more than 30%, virtually overnight. Immediately, theatrical became of less interest and DVD became the golden god of Hollywood.
But now that DVD has matured, theatrical’s annual 2% attendance drops, which are financially insignificant, are being touted as an issue by the press… not because they actually matter, but because we don’t have the details of the DVD business so that we can talk endlessly about the drops there, which are massively more significant.
Moreover, NONE of this would matter if the cost of production and marketing has not risen to meet the new DVD-driven revenue increases.
These are the real issues, not how many tickets are sold. This matters exclusively to the exhibitors, who make their money selling popcorn… more bodies = more money.
No one has written more or in more depth about the niche-ing of this industry. In fact, when I started writing about it, NO ONE else was. But you need to know where the real issues are before you start flying off the handle about nothings like ticket sales – which are, though never acknowledged, guesses based on past behavior as we go through the year – or market share, the most irrelevant movie stat of all.
Posted by: David Poland
at October 11, 2008 01:00 PM
Nicol, you and I have something in common: neither of us go to H-E anymore.
Posted by: jeffmcm
at October 11, 2008 02:48 PM
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