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November 29, 2008
Bagger Goes (A Little) Native
My favorite person to read during Oscar season is David Carr. Too tired of it all to press his nose up against the glass, he sees the dirt in the corner of the panes and keeps it all in perspective.
And then, his first two Hollywood missives of the season… well, he seems in real danger of getting NYTimes-itis. What’s that? It’s when New York Times reporters start to think that they are experiencing is the reality and not, primarily, a function of the obsession of execs and publicists to get ink in “The Paper of Record” and the willing-to-take-the-sarcasm-to-get-the-column-inches seduction that makes getting worked feel like your getting some good juice.
David Carr is, as far as I can tell, still David Carr… a talent unique enough for The Paper to not quite know how to get the most out of. (The idea of others pushing stories in The Bagger space utterly misses the point. No one goes there for comprehensive coverage… they go because they love The ‘Bagger.)
But the publicists? They have figured him out a lot better than they did when he landed on the scene a few years ago. Gossip schmucks like Roger “The Weinstein Controlled” Friedman are at home on whatever couch and buffet Peggy Siegel lays out for him. But a guy like Carr shouldn’t be within a sirloin’s throw from Ms. Siegel more than 2 or 3 times a year if he wants to keep his magical perspective.
When Carr writes, “profligacy remains the default setting for the silly season,” it is a function of what rooms he is being put into, not of the reality of what guys like Peter Bart, and yes, myself, are experiencing. Congratulations to the NYT breaking new ground by selling a massive 800x350 ad to Focus which rolls out to an 850xhalf-a-page. It is very possible that NYT is one of the few ad selling orgs that is up in revenue, in no small part because they are willing to run page eaters like that. But Variety lives and dies on Oscar ads and the buys are down, without question. A great big part of that is not only studios narrowing their buying range and budgets, but there being a whole lot fewer players in the game than in years past.
Gone are WIP, New Line, and Picturehouse. DreamWorks is no longer forcing Paramount to buy extra ads just for their pictures, as they have in past years, so Rev Road buys are part of the regular Paramount/Par Vantage push. Not buying in a hurry are Fox (Australia only… happy to let Searchlight run with Slumdog), Sony (Seven Pounds will or will not emerge on its own), and Disney (even with their publicity-heavy Wall-E push). Universal, in a move that does not effect Variety, has decreed that it would not make internet buys that were not connected to Traditional Media this season. Sony Classics is not spending like they did in the year of Capote, with little shot at a BP nod and lots of shots at acting nods, with or without big ad buys. The Weinstein Company keeps rolling the start date on potential ad buys back further into December, no likely to start spending unless The Reader gets critics awards traction (and I don’t mean NBR). MGM/UA is not buying for Valkyrie. IFC is not spending much on Che’ by Oscar season standards.
That is a significant drop in players who are playing from last years and years past. The core buyers are still buying. But when studios cut budgets by 10% and 20% on their awards budgets… well, a 20% drop in ad sales at Variety can mean layoffs and lots of them. And at The Hollywood Reporter, which has been aggressively targeted for destruction by Variety, a 30% drop could mean the end of the paper as we know it.
Yes, Paramount/Par Vantage will roll it out bigtime… but even they are cutting back some. And what The Bagger seems to miss is that these “private parties” are the most cost effective expenditures of the season. Cheap compared to say, the cover of Variety. Putting talent, who they have for a limited time, in front of as many voters and journalists as possible is the goal. Keep in mind the Oscar on Rachel Weisz’s mantle, which she won exclusively by being in person for a month in Los Angeles and charming the hell out of everyone she met. (She actually is that delightful… but that’s another entry.) Kate Winslet, who gave David the worst quotes I have ever heard from her – she works hard, but she does get tired – is another fantastic person in the room, when she really likes the movie.
Oscar season, even when spending actually was more profligate, is a lot about who those resources are used. Talent availability tends to be the most limited asset. In Peggy Siegel Land, talent flows like water from an open hydrant on a hot summer day. David is watching the kids, happily dancing around in the spray, cool and giddy, while he is missing the drop in water pressure in the fourth floor of the apartment building where the 90 year old is trying to get enough hot water for her bath. (The prior similar story was when Paramount execs, who are as likely as not to be chopped up, reconfigured or sold in the next 2 years, and others doing the cash flow bravado dance, were lying through their teeth.)
It’s a sophomore thing, even in his fifth year of covering this insanity. The Carpetbagger column is no longer a lark, but rather one of the prime places – perhaps the most prime slot - that publicists in this game target. Of course, Carr knows when someone is trying to reach around to milk him. He’s no innocent. But having been around this particular hoedown for a while, I am intensely aware of that moment when publicists figure out what they think your vulnerabilities are. Much of the pushback I get, especially from colleagues, is in response to my publicly expressed anger that comes from when I feel like we in the media are being played or “managed.” Most of the people in this game are happy to be in the room, managed or not. Such is my professional arrogance… I’m not having any of that… even when the “managers” are people I genuinely like.
Of course, the tricky part is that there is a large group of publicists who don’t want anything to do with people they cannot “manage.” And I’m not talking about people who are lunatics that are untrustworthy under any and all circumstances. And I‘m not saying that everyone other than myself is a puppet. All I’m saying is that there are not a lot of people with the ego strength of a Paul Haggis or an Ed Zwick or an Anthony Minghella who want to sit down and talk in depth even after you have told them that you are not a big fan of their most recent work. I walk that line very publicly and very explicitly. But all journalists in this realm of access chasing have to deal with the issues in this regard.
But I digress…
Money will be spent. Clothes will be leant. Celebrities will fly in private jets. Ads will be sold. But the illusion that the Oscar season is not currently under the same cloud that, say, sub-prime loans were a few years ago, is just that… an illusion. Studios are cutting back. ABC is trying to cut back. The Academy is quaking in its economic boots. Variety cut back on awards season staffing at the same time they tried to raise their prices significantly. LA Times also cut back, even without being able to raise prices. Other media that has spent heavily on the season is cutting back on travel, etc.
The Bagger is the most fun because he has been looking behind the curtain over these years without much at stake. And that changes a little each year. All I am saying is, make sure that when you pull back that curtain what you see is not yourself… because that is a scary moment indeed. And not nearly as much fun.
Posted by dpoland at November 29, 2008 01:38 PM
Comments
Nobody's going to push SNOW ANGELS for anything?
Posted by: LexG
at November 29, 2008 03:16 PM
blown away by yet another fearless, mercurial Kate Winslet performance.
Is there anything Winslet can't do?? (And if it wasn't for the "Revolutionary Road" factor, Weinstein would be--logically--promoting her in the lead category since she clearly has more screen time than anyone else in the cast.)
While I have some major issues with the film--as I did "The Hours" and "Billy Elliott"--my overall impression was highly favorable.
Glad to see that the Brothers Weinstein can still pull a rabbit out of their collective hat.
Posted by: movieman
at November 29, 2008 04:07 PM
That previous posting should have begun:
"Watched a screener of 'The Reader' the other nite and was...
This keypad/typekey/whatever the fuck business is really getting out of hand, Dave....
Posted by: movieman
at November 29, 2008 04:09 PM
You're talking about the other Winslet flick, right, not Revolutionary Road?
Posted by: Blackcloud
at November 29, 2008 04:10 PM
Yeah, Cloud.
I was talking about Winslet's performance in "The Reader."
The maddening movabletype fucked up the original transmission which is why I added the post script.
(This is the third time I signed in just to send this damn posting.)
Posted by: movieman
at November 29, 2008 05:51 PM
I had to sign in about that many times to post my question. Yet this time no problems. Weird.
Posted by: Blackcloud
at November 29, 2008 06:16 PM
Has anyone seen Seven Pounds yet? I'm wondering if it will show before LAFCA voting deadlines.
Posted by: LYT
at November 29, 2008 07:16 PM
lyt -- the first screening i'm aware of is wednesday night....
Posted by: scooterzz
at November 29, 2008 08:10 PM
Is it really a done deal in any way that "Seven Pounds" IS a contender? From what little they've shown in ads or given away in interviews, it's giving off a MAJOR "Pay it Forward" vibe. And per the cryptic comments from the cast in a recent EW, it sounds like the secrecy has less to do with it being a stealth BP candidate, and more to do with not wanting to give away a rug-pulled-out twist ending.
That said, Rosario Awesome and Freida Pinto should pair up to star in a remake of Van Damme's "Double Impact."
Posted by: LexG
at November 29, 2008 09:41 PM
I'm not having any problems with the commenting. Lovely.
The trailer for Seven Pounds, which I saw in front of Australia, didn't exactly make it look... well, like it made sense. or good, for that matter.
Posted by: KamikazeCamelV2.0
at November 29, 2008 11:33 PM
I actually liked the trailer the first time I saw it.
Then I found out it was running in front of everything at every AMC, and six or seven viewings later I'm a little tired of it. But having liked Pursuit of Happyness, I'm hoping it'll be decent.
Posted by: LYT
at November 30, 2008 12:19 AM
ROSARIO DAWSON COMMANDS YOUR ASS.
TOTAL OWNAGE. I WANT TO ASK HER OUT.
Posted by: LexG
at November 30, 2008 12:24 AM
Has no one noticed that the trailer makes Seven Pounds look like a remake of Magnificent Obsession? Please, someone who knows the films of Douglas Sirk respond. It'll restore some of my confidence in this community.
Posted by: Not David Bordwell
at November 30, 2008 12:26 AM
'blown away by yet another fearless, mercurial Kate Winslet performance.'
good to know, movieman, i'm looking forward to the great kate x2 now (assuming we get 'the reader' any time soon)
Posted by: leahnz
at November 30, 2008 01:41 AM
CHRIST ALL YOU CRITICS have to kiss Winslet's ass so hard; Jesus. She's fine and all, but the way every paid film critic in the galaxy makes it, it's like she invented fucking acting or something. There are MANY better, more watchable and hotter actresses. Like Winslet fine but sick of her RUNNING every awards shindig ever and crix falling all over themselves to lavish praise on her like she's some UNDISCOVERED GEM.
BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOORING.
Also, I can GUARANTEE that REVOLUTIONARY WHATEVER is the kind of movie that has ZERO REWATCH WHATSOEVER. You'll be watching DARK KNIGHT or even TRANSPORTER 3 on CINEMAX for the 400TH TIME before you EEEEEEEEVER throw in that BLURAY of REVOLUTIONARY ROAD ever again.
GUARANTEE. It is PURE BAIT.
Posted by: LexG
at November 30, 2008 02:05 AM
Not DB: Good call on Magnificent Obsession, which I liked in spite of the spiritual mumbo jumbo (Sirk can redeem just about anything). I've only seen a TV spot for Seven Pounds, and I couldn't quite get the gist of it, but at least there was no Otto Kruger type puffing a pipe and going on about selflessness. Maybe there is in the movie.
Lex, you need to see Kate Winslet's guest shot in Ricky Gervais' Extras. Playing "herself," she gives pointers on phone sex and does some priceless naughty pantomime behind a crew member's back. Things like that add to her ownage factor.
Posted by: yancyskancy
at November 30, 2008 02:28 AM
By the way, in that Winslet Extras episode, she talks about the Oscar potential of playing disabled characters, foreshadowing the controversial "retard" exchange in Tropic Thunder. Ben Stiller guest starred in the very next episode of Extras. Coincidence?
Of course, the observation wasn't original to Gervais either. It's sort of "common wisdom."
Posted by: yancyskancy
at November 30, 2008 02:32 AM
Just to be clear, I'm not so much anti-Winslet (which I'm not, especially since she showed her snizz-snazz in Jude and it OWNED), but anti-critics who have to suck up to her endlessly.
She should do a Bruckheimer movie or get in fighting shape and play the hot chick in a Jason Statham movie, that would fucking rule, instead of some bullshit BAIT where she's paired with some zitfaced kid like The Reader, WHICH I CAN GUARANTEE NOT ONE PERSON EVER WOULD WILLINGLY WATCH A SECOND TIME ON CABLE OR DVD.
Posted by: LexG
at November 30, 2008 02:41 AM
Yancy, she also talks about how she needs to make a WWII movie to win an Oscar. Oh the irony if she wins for The Reader.
Lex, shut up. You're being a fool.
Posted by: KamikazeCamelV2.0
at November 30, 2008 02:48 AM
Anybody willing to put money where their mouth is: Is THE READER anything you'll be rewatching multiple times a year on DVD?
When's the last time you broke out that DVD of THE HOURS? CASE FUCKING CLOSED.
Break out that SHINE DVD lately?
What have you watched more in the last decade, CON AIR or BILLY ELLIOT?
Shit that has ZERO REWATCH is PURE BAIT and NOT SOMETHING THAT WILL STAND THE TEST OF TIME. DO NOT NOMINATE *BULLSHIT* FOR OSCARS. Look at ANY GIVEN YEAR in the 80s and 90s; ARE THE NOMINATED MOVIES, BY AND LARGE, the movies YOU rewatch with any regularity?
HOW MANY TIMES HAVE YOU WATCHED SHAKESPEARE IN LOVE SINCE 2000? *****BEEEEEEST PICTURE.****
"THE READER" is not something YOU WILL EEEEEEVER WATCH again when it hits cable or DVD.
IT IS BULLSHIT.
Posted by: LexG
at November 30, 2008 02:53 AM
Hey, Lex- I think you'll be pleased with Kate's copious nude sex scenes in "The Reader." They might even be hot enough for you to replay...frequently.
They actually did a p/screening of "7 Pounds" here in Ohio a few weeks back (Big Willy came to Cleveburg for some food bank benefit, and the movie was shown as part of the shindig). Because of a scheduling screw-up--and because I was already seeing "Australia" and "4X" that same day--I skipped "7," figuring I could just catch up with it at a later screening/promo. The few people I spoke to who did see it (mind you, these aren't the brighest bulbs in the room) were generally blase and nobody was talking Oscar.
I do hope that it's more "Pursuit of Happyness" than "Pay it Forward," though.
Yeah, the Sirk-ian elements are definitely visible in the trailer.
But can anyone really pull off that sort of thing anymore without arch quotation marks--e.g., Todd Haynes and "Far from Heaven"--to provide post-modern ironic distance?
Kind of defeats the whole purpose.
Posted by: movieman
at November 30, 2008 05:00 AM
I've watched Billy Elliot at least five times and Con Air once. Shakespeare in Love also about five times (and it remains one of the better Best Picture winners of the last 20 years) and rewatched The Hours once. I don't rewatch Shine because I don't particularly care for it.
There. Now perhaps wait until you come out of your grog strewn cave and have seen The Reader before running your ever-yammering mouth about it. Fuck, you're annoying.
Posted by: KamikazeCamelV2.0
at November 30, 2008 06:05 AM
"Look at ANY GIVEN YEAR in the 80s and 90s; ARE THE NOMINATED MOVIES, BY AND LARGE, the movies YOU rewatch with any regularity?"
These have been:
1980 – Raging Bull, The Elephant Man
1981 – Atlantic City, Raiders of the Lost Ark
1982 – ET, The Verdict, Tootsie
1983 – The Right Stuff, Tender Mercies
1984 – Amadeus, The Killing Fields, A Soldiers Story
1985 – The Color Purple, Prizzi’s Honor, Witness
1986 – Platoon, The Mission, A Room With a View
1987 – Broadcast News, Moonstruck
1988 – Rain Man, Mississippi Burning, Dangerous Liasons
1989 – Driving Miss Daisy, My Left Foot, Field of Dreams
1990 – Dances With Wolves, Ghost, Goodfellas
1991 – The Silence of the Lambs, Bugsy, JFK
1992 – Unforgiven, The Crying Game, A Few Good Men
1993 – Schindler’s List, The Fugitive, In The Name of the Father
1994 – Forest Gump, Pulp Fiction, Quiz Show, The Shawshank Redemption
1995 – Braveheart
1996 – The English Patient, Jerry Maguire, Shine, Fargo, Secrets and Lies
1997 – L.A. Confidential, As Good As It Gets, The Full Monty, Good Will Hunting
1998 – The Thin Red Line, Saving Private Ryan
1999 - American Beauty, The Insider, The Sixth Sense
Posted by: Hallick
at November 30, 2008 09:17 AM
Thanks for backing me up, yancy and movieman. A few random thoughts:
I love me some Douglas Sirk, but found Magnificent Obsession the hardest of his films to take -- the Otto Kruger mumbo-jumbo is just deeply creepy (and dare I say it -- Scientological? Is that why Will Smith was attracted to the project?).
You raise a good point, movieman. Sirkian melodrama does not work if you can't believe in the sincerity of the characters' passions. Far From Heaven works more as a formal exercise that a real homage to Sirk, precisely because of Haynes' ironic distance. Fassbinder is much more Sirkian that Haynes can ever hope to be -- Haynes seems never to have left film school.
Is melodrama even possible anymore? Is anyone even attempting it? The discussion of Australia recently has me wondering if this is what Baz Luhrmann is after, but I'll have to see for myself.
Posted by: Not David Bordwell
at November 30, 2008 11:09 AM
Not David-
Speaking of Fassbinder, have you seen the Sirk quote that opens the "Many Women of Fassbinder" doc included as an extra on the "Merchant of Four Seasons" dvd?
I always knew that Sirk was a huge influence on Fassbinder, but I didn't know they were actually friends...in a student/mentor sort of way.
While Fassbinder appropriated many Sirk-ian tropes throughout his career, you always felt that he believed (deeply, truly, madly) in all the roiling Sirk melodrama; that it wasn't just an outre fashion statement the way it was for Haynes in "FFH."
Posted by: movieman
at November 30, 2008 11:46 AM
As for "Australia:" yes, Hollywood melodrama is just one of the many wells Baz dips into...along with the western, the war film, magic realism, ad nauseam.
Posted by: movieman
at November 30, 2008 12:07 PM
It's not a terrible film, I think it's a product of overinflated expectations. For his first real dramatic epic, I think Baz did a nice job. Is it a classic? I don't think so, but that's one of those things that really is determined years from now anyway. It will at least break even financially and probably get Oscar noms in at least the production design and tech categories. Certainly not the bomb of the season that some would like to characterize it as.
Posted by: martin
at November 30, 2008 01:05 PM
I think Haynes pulls off some neat sleight-of-hand in Far from Heaven. His "beneath the surface" theme foregrounds the hot button issues (homosexuality, racism) but the real story is Cathy's lack of options. Her husband and the gardener at least have communities outside the white, straight mainstream that will accept and support them. But Cathy ultimately has nowhere to go, even though she's willing to accept a compromised life with either of the men.
It's sad really, and it's perfectly relevant to the era depicted, in the same way that Sirk's melodramas tweaked contemporary social conventions while in the guise of soap opera.
Okay, class dimissed. Now to further destroy my cred with Lex, I'll just say that I've seen Shakespeare in Love 3 times and would watch it again in a heartbeat over Con Air. The Hours does blow though.
Posted by: yancyskancy
at November 30, 2008 01:15 PM
As mentioned earlier, "The Hours" is another Daldry film that I had issues with. It wasn't until the second viewing that I found an entry point into the movie, and that was the little boy--the one who grows up to become Ed Harris--who Julianne Moore's character abandons to "find herself." That was an exceptional kid performance, and the scene where the boy chases after the car as his Mommy drives off (forever?) is utterly wrenching. I also liked the Kidman/Dillane story arc, but Streep's uber-mannered performance, Dane's shocking ineptitude and the whole "Noble AIDS Victim" tone of that entire section were major turn-offs.
Only seen "Shakespeare in Love" once. I think it was Joseph Fiennes (England's answer to Freddie Prinze. Jr) who kept me from going back for another taste. Happy to see that he's all but vanished from the radar screen.
I like "Far From Heaven" in an objet d'art sort of way, but Not David is right about it having an overly studied, nearly textbook feel that gets in the way of it provoking any genuine emotions.
"Australia" isn't an "epic disaster" by any stretch. ("Four Christmases" is the only real disaster that opened this weekend, no matter what the box-office grosses may indicate.)
Nor is "Australia" very good. Only hardcore Baz fetishists (and Armond White-style contrarians) will be able to make a case for it being some sort of unfairly maligned masterpiece down the road.
....maybe if he'd made it a musical and had Hugh and Nic lip-sync the Queen songbook...
Posted by: movieman
at November 30, 2008 01:55 PM
Eastwood seems mired in melodrama lately (MILLION DOLLAR BABY, CHANGELING and from the looks of it GRAN TORINO).
I've seen THE HOURS twice, THE ENGLISH PATIENT nearly a dozen times and LA CONFIDENTIAL probably just as many. There is nothing that will get me to change the channel quicker than a Bruckheimer or Bay piece of shit like CON AIR, ARMAGEDDON, PEARL HARBOR, NATIONAL TREASURE, GONE IN SIXTY SECONDS, COYOTE UGLY, BAD BOYS, etc.
And Lex, seriously, if you're that impressed with squack (see: Kate Winslet's in JUDE of all things), there's this thing out there called pornography. You should give it a whirl. And you have a MUCH better chance of landing some tail in that particular gene pool than you do of, say, asking Rosario Awesome out for a date.
Posted by: bmcintire
at November 30, 2008 02:04 PM
Porn is fucking wack.
No class at all.
The Hours blows.
Posted by: LexG
at November 30, 2008 02:12 PM
"No class at all" speaks volumes, Lex.
Movieman, I'm not going to be hailing it as a masterpiece now or in the future (or, at least, I don't see myself doing so) but I will say that it's a very good movie and that it has more to like than so many other movies I'm supposed to think are flawlessly made and are hailed as masterpieces themselves.
Posted by: KamikazeCamelV2.0
at November 30, 2008 09:02 PM
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