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July 09, 2009
20 Weeks - A First Look The Oscar Season To Come
35 Weeks To Go
The Next Oscars Will Be Rated X
Some will try to make it The Year of The Woman, with Nine leading the way for such hopefuls as Julie & Julia, Bright Star, Precious, An Education, Broken Embraces, the 2 SPC Coco Chanel movies, Amelia, Cheri, and even the female director of The Hurt Locker. And maybe they will have a point… there could be 5 nominations in that group.
Or not.
What is truly shocking to me – and readers will have to have faith that it is purely a coincidence – is that as I laid out the chart to go with this column, my current Top 10 contenders… gulp... are from 10 different distributors.
And I don’t even have any tables to sell.
Posted by dpoland at July 9, 2009 06:20 PM
Comments
No room for INGLOURIOUS BASTERDS in all of that? I think it's got a shot at making a ten-wide BP ballot...
Posted by: Goulet ![[TypeKey Profile Page]](http://www.mcnblogs.com/thehotblog/nav-commenters.gif)
at July 9, 2009 07:38 PM
Trust me on this: the remake of Fame has zero chance of getting a Best Picture nomination. Zero. From what I've heard, it might get some Razzie noms, though.
Posted by: gradystiles at July 9, 2009 07:50 PM
Interesting that you didn't list Funny People. Is this just an omission or is it your feeling it has no chance?
Posted by: ASD at July 9, 2009 10:20 PM
I don't think I've seen one review of Cheri that suggests it has a shot at Oscar.
Posted by: yancyskancy at July 9, 2009 11:49 PM
At this point, in this list, Wild Things deserves to be an outlier.
Posted by: Campbell at July 10, 2009 01:27 AM
I'm thinking Bright Star has a much better chance (but you're right in being wary of a first time distrib).
Forget about the ten best picture nominees though, I'm more interested in how best director pans out. Can we really get two female nominees (atm I'm thinking Campion and Bigelow, although Schofig could be up their alley too) and a black man (Daniels). Throw in a gay man (Marshall) and that category is looking quite the picture of "diverse".
Posted by: KamikazeCamelV2.0 at July 10, 2009 05:28 AM
Hey DP -- what's with the hate on comedies? No, Funny People? No Hangover? With the extension of Best Picture to 10 nods it's clear that the Academy wants to include more populist films. With The Hangover still going strong there is no way it isn't going to push for a nomination. Also, if Funny People turns out to be the moving/funny experience it's hinting at, there is definitely going to be a big push for that one as well.
Both of those films have a much better shot than Cheri.
Posted by: montrealkid at July 10, 2009 06:16 AM
I haven't seen Funny People yet, so it may be something... or it may not. The Hangover is exactly the kind of picture that The Academy doesn't have any interest in honoring. Same with Inglourious Basterds, which didn't exactly come out of Cannes smoking.
I don't disagree that Cheri and Fame are not likely to be serious contenders. But they do fit the profile, much more so than the big comedy hits.
Posted by: David Poland at July 10, 2009 12:15 PM
I thought Fantastic Mr. Fox was bumped to Feb-Apr of 2010?
Posted by: movielocke at July 10, 2009 12:17 PM
Isn't Fame more Centre Stage than Fame circa 1980.
Posted by: KamikazeCamelV2.0 at July 11, 2009 12:20 AM
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