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June 10, 2008

The Runaway Argument Stumbles

I am always frustrated by feeling an issue is crystal clear… yet talking about it makes me sound like a bad guy.

But such is the nature of arguing that runaway production is, to a great extent, a non-issue when you look at the big picture.

Philosophically, this kind of reminds me of the Democratic primary fight. Clinton started as a prohibitive favorite. Then she became a prohibitive underdog. Then Clinton used the leverage of being the underdog to both propel herself and to bring the leader down to earth, while the frontrunner was unable to respond with similar tactics without looking like an ingrate.

Southern California is The Home Team… The Prohibitive Favorite… The Standard Bearer. It’s hard to maintain that position when the world wants to compete with you. There is no question that there is a benefit to other cities when the Hollywood circus comes to town. A movie is, in principle, a retail buyer.

Yes, they will make a deal with a hotel to pay less than the rack rate and get a discount at the hotel restaurant. But they will spend in ways that tourists and business travelers do not. And, obviously, when a movie shoots in a non-industry town, the entire cast & crew is renting housing for week after week, eating and drinking out for week after week, and spending on life’s needs for week after week. That is a lot difference in how a town is helped by a movie spending as opposed to the crew driving home to their houses in the Valley to have dinner with the wife and kids. A movie cast & crew out of town works its ass off… and is, in some ways, on a very long vacation.

This was all pushed to the forefront today because of a segment on KCRW’s The Business. (Note: I think Claude Brodesser-Akner is probably a funny guy in real life… but what may be funny off-the-cuff is painful to listen to when he smirkily does the jokes when he thinks they are funny on the show. Please… stop.)

The first guest was Ugly Betty EP Silvio Horta, who made – without apparently trying to – the case for what is good about production in other places than Los Angeles. The show, which has become a point of focus as they decided to move from Raleigh Studios in Hollywood to New York for their next season of production, was, Horta says, always meant to be shot in New York…. but it was simply too expensive for the studio that owns the show. Asked whether a tax break in Los Angeles would bring them “home,” Horta offered that the show’s producers think of New York as “home,” so no,

But the most important point, which was undersold, was that the New York tax break is about 35%... and the cost of production in New York is so much more that the show will do slightly better than breaking even on the move.

Think about that. Even if there is a 10% cut in hard costs by way of this tax break – and this is overly generous – the bottom line is that shooting in New York costs 25% more than shooting in Los Angeles.

This is why NY has to pay people to shoot in New York.

The same situation was true in Toronto and Vancouver. Not only was there a tax break from the Canadian government and not only was there infrastructure created to support a significant amount of production in and near those cities, but for a long time, there was an additional 10% or so bonus because of the strength of the U.S. Dollar vs the Looney. As the Dollar has fallen, so has American-based production in Canada.

What I don’t buy is the anti-CA tax incentive argument that says that it is welfare for the studios. It would be, on some level. But the benefit sought here is not for the studios, but for the employees who work for the studios and indies on production.

The industry is not going to up and leave Southern California because of tax incentives in other places. That’s obvious. We are the home team here. And I would argue that physical production is only one part of the overall local industry and should actually be done in other places when appropriate. The health of the industry should supersede many of the details of physical production. Yes, I understand that a “detail” may be a human person and that thinking in the abstract may keep someone from paying their mortgage or paying for their kids schooling. That is the cruel reality of any political or economic discussion. Sorry.

The studios that are funding the majority of dollars that are going into big production of TV and movies have a vested interest in keeping some part of production here in Southern California. Besides the more conceptual reality that having one city as the major center of production makes sense - the same way that having unions actually makes sense in this industry once you accept that there will be unions at all - there is the simple reality of real estate. I guess Universal and Warner Bros and Paramount and Columbia and Disney and Fox could all get out of the backlot business and sell their lots as they move to the cheaper environs of… uh, uh… Montana… Sacramento… North Carolina… Eastern Europe?

The reality of runaway production – which presumes that production somehow belongs at “home” – is well illustrated in this chart that I culled from State of California studies on the issue. It only goes through the first half of 2003, but it pretty much tells you what you need to know. The percentage of American film releases in the early 90s made in full or in part in California dipped under 50%... but since then, it’s been consistently over 50% of product. What you don’t see is a progression of movement away from “home.”

runaway.jpg

The question, while emotional, is simple. Does California, as the dominant “home” of TV and film production, have a financial interest in trying to keep people from shooting movies elsewhere? As much as other cities have motive for trying to bring in movie dollars – which for them are much like tourist dollars, a single film like bringing in a half dozen good sized conventions – I would argue that the “home town” paying people to stay where they are already staying – for the most part – and where at least 20% will always leave for location reasons, is simply unnecessary.

The reason so much of the film and television world stays in California is because the crews are better and more plentiful, the machinery is here in large numbers, as are actors and the rest of the “talent,” and it is financially sensible to be here for so many. There’s nothing wrong with a little competition. But this is not like manufacturing, which can go to other countries for cheap labor, easily making up for lack of quality with massive savings. There is no reason to think that the industry will leave California… until there really is a financial penalty for shooting here that is big enough to make the hard parts of being away just too unworkable.

And in the meanwhile, even the films that shoot elsewhere are tethered to this community by the studios. And there’s no running away from that.

November 08, 1997

In & Out, Brad Pitt, Robert Downey, Jr.

IN: New Line is putting all its eggs in one movie, teaming Jackie Chan, Chris Tucker and The Full Monty co-star Tom Wilkinson (who played Gerald) in Rush Hour, to be directed by Money Talks director Brett Ratner. The storyline? The Chinese ambassador's daughter is kidnapped in Los Angeles. Wilkinson plays the ambassador's right-hand man. But is Jackie Chan the ambassador? I don't know, but it wreaks of Sonny Bono, doesn't it? And I'm guessing that we'll be seeing, as soon as a trailer hits theaters, Chris Tucker's eyes bulging out of his head as the foxy Chinese daughter of the ambassador shows off her legs. We are the world.

OUT: Brad Pitt just dropped out of New Line's attempt at a western, Custer Marching to Valhalla, from Dances With Wolves scribe Michael Blake. It marks the end of his longest personal relationship, having been attached to the project since 1995. "The National Perspirer" says that Brad's split left New Line pregnant and heartbroken with a $3 million price tag for the story rights. "The Scar" tabloid says it was New Line that wanted out, returning to their original pre-Ted Turner love of lower-budget filmmaking. "The Weekly World Screws" re-printed the nude photos of Brad.

IN & OUT: Robert Downey Jr., Heather Graham and Natasha Wagner have teamed up to earn the dreaded NC-17 rating for "a scene of explicit sexuality." The film, Two Guys and a Guy, is written and directed by infamously sexist pig James Toback, who also teamed with Downey (and producer Warren Beatty) for 1987's The Pick Up Artist. Graham, also who stars as porn actress Rollergirl in Boogie Nights, is becoming a regular on the hotbod highway, paying off on her claim that she "wants to do out there things." No word on whether Downey will be paroled for the premiere.

Think you have a clearer view of the future? E-mail me.

October 15, 1997

Secret Agent Wednesday

The stories that Sony was in pursuit of the Bond franchise started last February. After a week or two of evasion, newly seated Sony Chief John Calley finally spoke to me about the situation and categorically denied that Sony was pursuing the Bond franchise. From all the tap dancing, it seemed that Calley had indeed been trying to leverage his relationship with Bond producer Barbara Broccoli (daughter of Cubby), with whom he had restarted the Bond engine at MGM/UA, the company he exited that is the long standing Bond rights holder. But the connection between Bond and UA was apparently too strong, legally or otherwise, to break. Story over.

But Calley was as smooth as Bond, stirred but not shaken, pursuing the back door entrance into Bondland, with producer Kevin McClory as the source of rights. McClory claims rights to the character based on his involvement in 1965's Thunderball, which he produced and co-storied. In 1983, he delivered Bond to Warner Bros. with Never Say Never Again, which remade the Thunderball story and was the start (along with Time Bandits) of Sean Connery's career resurrection. Guess who was head of production at WB when that happened. Calley!

The brewing legal bloodbath, centered around McClory's rights claim to the James Bond character, as opposed to his previous remaking of the one Bond property he had a hand in, should make December's Bond release, Tomorrow Never Dies, look G-rated in comparison. MGM/UA is, as it has been for years, in serious financial straits and Bond is the one plum in their pudding. In the meantime, call Calley Little Jack Horner, sitting in his corner with Men In Black winning last summer's box office race, Godzilla likely to win the summer of 1998 and an Astin Martin warming up in the garage.

And in the category of "more evasive, less important," Disney-based Interscope Communications will bankroll twin brothers Josh and Jonas Pate's third film, Earl Watt, to the tune of $50 million-plus. What's it about? The secret agent brothers won't say. Coyness from the twins whose first film was the direct-to-cable The Grave, described by TNT's very own Joe Bob Briggs as "Eleven dead bodies. No breasts. Bloody rabbit's foot. Pill poppin'. Embalming-table surgery. Aardvarking. Up-chucking. Baseball bat to the head. The old chained-to-the-floor-of-the-swamp-at-low-tide torture. Massive marijuana use. Multiple gravedigging. One brawl, with pitchfork. Finger rolls. Gratuitous Eric Roberts. Electric-chair fu." I'll tell you what, guys. Match the Coen brothers' first film (Blood Simple) or The Wachowski brothers' cherry-breaking Bound and you can be as mysterious as you want. In the meantime, you're just pissing me off.

If I have the same effect on you, email me. And you were all right. I am 67 percent possessed.

October 04, 1997

Polanski, Titanic Release Date

Director Roman Polanski, who has been in exile in France for 20 years to avoid jail time for his sexual encounter with a 13-year-old girl in Jack Nicholson's backyard, is rumored to have cut a deal to return to Hollywood. Another great achievement for Los Angeles D.A. Gil Garcetti. Polanski is probably anxious to return to Hollywood before Natalie Portman turns 18.

Another million dollar deal for a classic idea. Former "Mad TV" writer, Stuart Blumberg, sold Columbia Pictures Keeping the Faith, a "romantic drama" about a long-term friendship between a rabbi and a Catholic priest that becomes strained when both men fall in love with the same woman. Drama? All that description makes me think of a joke starting, "A rabbi and a priest walk into a..." Email us your best priest/rabbi jokes and maybe they'll end up in The Hot Button.

Traditionally, the success of big-budget movies on American soil has led the way to foreign box office gold. But 20th Century Fox has held its breath long enough on Titanic, the long-delayed Jim Cameron epic. Scheduled to premiere in the U.S. on December 19 under the Paramount banner (they split rights), Fox has decided to launch Titanic at the Tokyo International Film Festival on November 1. Japan has been a solid audience for Cameron, so if they don't like it, expect to find Fox execs looking for a spot under Godzilla's foot (or hanging from George Lucas' shirttails).

As Janeane Garofalo left the theater during her star turn in The Matchmaker, she said, "I saw my pie face up there and the crow's feet. Have you ever seen your face blown up 10 feet tall? I can't take it." If she can't take that, she should stay off the Web. Inspired by Chris Brandon's Site-ing of last Wednesday, I took a trip to GarofaloLand. My favorite sight was this letter on a Janeanne-loving site. James Ricardo (no relation to Ricky) from Torrance, CA, wrote: "I love Janeane. She is way prettier than Uma Thurman or Lisa or Mira in Romy and Michele. Though my guess is she isn't that good in bed. She seems very much a missionary style-type chick. Long Live Janeane! Bow down to her cute, fat, hairy little legs!!" How could I ever top that?

Come back Monday for a box office round up.

October 02, 1997

Geena Davis in Talks for Sailor Moon

Geena Davis is in talks to be first on board Disney's live-action version of the Japanese TV anime, Sailor Moon. The show is about teenage girls with super powers and enormous eyes, leaving Davis to the role of evil Queen Beryl, who is trying to destroy the earth. The Hot Button suggests a cast of actresses who can still pretend to be teens and who have eyes so large that they appear to be human incarnations of velvet paintings of unhappy clowns and orphans: Winona Ryder, Heather Graham, Elizabeth Shue during her The Saint period, and the late, great Marty Feldman, resurrected and in drag for this important cinematic achievement.

O.J. Simpson prosecutor Christopher Darden got married last week to Rysher Entertainment exec Marcia Carter. Within hours of the nuptials, Darden was claiming that the failure of such Rysher films as A Smile Like Yours, The Evening Star, White Man's Burden, Dear God and Turbulance (this is the short list, folks!) was the responsibility of O.J. Simpson. When reminded that Simpson was in court while these films were developed, Darden blamed Judge Ito. He then claimed that releasing studio Paramount was playing the Dud Card, when they released the films in theaters instead of prisons. It's OK, Chris. It's over man! You can stop making excuses.

First Joe Eszterhas' poison pen letter to Hollywood, Alan Smithee: Burn Hollywood Burn, had its very own director, Arthur Hiller, yank his name off the film, replaced by the traditional "I-Don't-Want-To-Be-Associated- With-This-Crap" psuedonym, Alan Smithee. Now, it's been pushed by distributor Disney all the way until next March, and even then, is scheduled for just a 20-city test release. Irony rears its ugly head, as the film about getting screwed in Hollywood gets screwed for the most traditional reason in Hollywood; the film stinks and no one wants to see it.

E-Mail Dave with the issues that get your button hot!

October 01, 1997

Bart the Bear

Bart makes as much as $10,000 a day for his movie work, before residuals. He's had major parts in over 20 movies to date, yet has never had to learn a line of dialogue. And he contributes a part of his earning to charity every year, but never signs a check. Sounds like a guy who you'd want your daughter or sister to date, huh? I forgot to mention that he weighs 1,800 pounds and eats his sushi with the skin on. Bart is the bear who hunts Anthony Hopkins and Alec Baldwin in The Edge. Good thing he can't fit in a Beemer or he'd be tooling around Rodeo Drive, cruising for fur coats. But, he can get you Sir Anthony Hopkins' home phone number.

Stone is back and it ain't Sharon! Twentieth Century Fox is bringing the Romancing the Stone series back, probably as a Michael Douglas vehicle. Given the fact that Douglas is now old enough to be the stone, let's try some new titles: "Romancing Alone," "My Hair Has Stopped Grow'n," "Romancing Old Crones," "I'd Like To Be Prone," "Romancing The Clone" or "Romance Without Bone." Please feel free to email your new titles.

The proliferation of meteor films -- Armageddon and Deep Impact -- is no longer concentrated on U.S. shores. Continuing a diverse acting repertoire, Mike Myers has agreed to star with Brenda Fricker and Boogie Nights star Alfred Molina in Meteor, a drama written and directed by Irish playwright Joe O'Byrne. Variety says it's a dark coming-of-age story about three children in a Dublin slum whose lives are changed when a huge meteor crashes into their backyard. Shooting starts November 10, when Myers completes his work as disco denizen Steve Rubell in 54, and before he stars in MGM's remake of The Court Jester.

The Whole Picture delves into the dark side of entertainment journalism this week.

E-Mail Dave with the issues that get your button hot!

September 19, 1997

The Sixth Sense, Wide Awake, The Age Aquarius

In an era where everyone is complaining about star salaries, Disney found a new level of bizarre by paying $2.25 million for Sixth Sense, a horror script about a child psychologist. Even better, the deal gives the director's chair to first-timer M. Night Shyamalan, who wrote the film. Unlike other writers who have demanded a directing gig, Shyamalan has no writing track record, with his first major feature, Wide Awake, due from Miramax on Oct. 17. And there's more! The $2.5 million fee will comprise about 20 percent of the film's overall budget, a bigger piece of the budgetary pie than $20 million action stars like Arnold get. This may be the stupidest financial deal this writer has ever heard of in Hollywood. No joke.

The new Harrison Ford film, The Age Aquarius, changed plans to shoot in Israel for three weeks next month when someone figures out that Israel could be dangerous. Also on the Genius Insight travel advisory list was the fact that the French don't like us, the British can't cook and Italian men may pinch your wife's buttocks. Stay tuned for more important updates.

Andy Vajna is buying half The Terminator sequel rights at $7.5 million from Carolco Liquidating Trust, the executor of the bankruptcy that Carolco founder Vanja left behind to start Cinergi Pictures. But, Vanja's Cinergi isn't the one buying the rights, because that company is self-liquidating to avoid bankruptcy after making too many losers, like The Color of Night, Judge Dredd and The Scarlett Letter (not to mention weak returns on Evita). So, if you have a few hundred million lying around the house, invest in Andy. Only this time, the Indecent Proposal will be paying Demi Moore $12 million to appear in a costume drama and you're the one that gets screwed.

Bruce Willis and Demi Moore did their best to shock the world at this year's Emmy Awards when Bruce gave a big hello smooch to Ellen DeGeneres while Demi did likewise with Anne Heche. More shocking still would have been the trio of Willis, Moore and Heche not finding a way to steal headlines form the people who actually won Emmys.

E-Mail Dave with the issues that get your button hot!

September 17, 1997

Jodie Foster is set to direct and produce Flora Plum

Jodie Foster is set to direct and produce Flora Plum. Disney describes the picture as All About Eve set in a circus atmosphere. Some sample dialogue: Flora: "Fasten your seat belts, it's going to be a bumpy night!" Ringmaster: "That isn't the night. The elephants just walked through here!" OR Flora to the elephants: "I'm still not to be had for the price of a salted peanut!"

READER HOT BUTTON DU JOUR:
From Amy Taylor of the Northwest: One "Hot Button" I personally have, is spec scripts such as Cowboys and Aliens, or Earth Dick (no, not soft porn!), being purchased for six figures. I bet my 8-year-old could come up with a better idea than those, or at least a better title! In all honesty, however, I am certain if they were my clients, I would have laughed all the way to the bank!

Thanks for your thoughts, Amy. You'll be thrilled to read the next item.

The Thunderbirds is being prepped as a live-action film based on the hit 1960s U.K. TV series that featured marionettes as 21st century space heroes. The Hot Button's wooden casting suggestions: Jason Patric as Anyone Who Has To Talk, Shaquille O'Neal as Anyone Who's Not A Freak, Matthew McConaughey as Anyone Smart and Marky Mark Wahlberg's prosthetic device from Boogie Nights as The Ultimate Force Of Nature.

E-Mail Dave with the issues that get your button hot!

September 11, 1997

Levinson's Sphere

Barry Levinson's Sphere has been poked, prodded and pushed further than any studio film this year. First, it was delayed while WB execs decided to cough up Sharon Stone's $6 million asking price. Then, they delayed production two months in order to rework the enormous effects budget. Next, they decided to shove it into theaters this December for Academy Award consideration, offering up Oscar regulars Levinson, Dustin Hoffman, Sam Jackson and Sharon Stone. But, apparently, there was so little "want-to-see" in test marketing, they decided to move the film into mid-February `97, traditionally a movie dead zone, in order to get the promo machine running at full speed. Warner Bros. now has to hope that the media doesn't like the story about the delays better than they like the movie.

Ever see a movie that you heard was altered against the will of the filmmaker? And it still sucked? Do you still think the musical numbers in I'll Do Anything, Bruce Willis' penis in Color of Money or the dirty jokes in Spawn would help? Well, Robert Altman's The Gingerbread Man will be right up your alley. After a bad test screening, Polygram decided to re-cut the quirky Altman thriller to make it more accessible to audiences. It didn't work. They still hated it. So, Altman's vision will hit the screens in its purest form, albeit next year, six months after its original release date. Maybe Polygram thinks that this rotten fruit will get better with time. After all, it worked for Gone Fishin', Volcano and 'Til There Was You. Right?

Disney's busy trying re-establish distribution operations in war-torn Bosnia and Herzegovina, hopefully in time for the Christmas movie season. Special Bosnia-only versions of the Disney release schedule might include The Little Mercenary, 101 Dead Dalmatians and Honey, I Blew Up The Country.

E-Mail Dave with the issues that get your button hot!